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NDIS Properties: Are They Overpriced, a Bargain, or Exactly as Predicted?

Aaron Tan · 14 January 2023

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The question of whether National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) properties are overpriced sparks a complex debate. On the surface, the significant price difference compared to conventional properties may lead you to assume that NDIS properties are indeed overvalued. However, delving into the nuances of this unique investment reveals a more intricate picture, highlighting the factors that contribute to their cost and their potential as positive investments.

The Price Discrepancy:

To illustrate the apparent overpricing, consider a recent NDIS property in Perth priced at $900,000, contrasting with nearby beachside properties available for $700,000—a substantial $200,000 difference. Evaluating this discrepancy solely based on price could lead you to perceive NDIS properties as being excessively expensive.

Income and Cash Flow:

However, the comparison becomes more nuanced when examining income and cash flow. A beachside property might generate a modest positive cash flow of $5,000 annually, or potentially zero or negative cash flow after expenses. In contrast, the NDIS property, with its higher capital cost, yields an annual positive cash flow of $40,000 after expenses. This substantial difference in income tilts the scales in favour of NDIS properties.

Return on Investment:

Considering the additional $200,000 investment required for the NDIS property, which translates to an extra $40,000 deposit at an 80% Loan-to-Value Ratio (LVR), the question arises: Is the additional investment worth the extra $40,000 in annual income? From a return on investment perspective, the answer appears to be a resounding “Yes”. The NDIS property, despite the higher upfront cost, starts to emerge as a compelling and potentially lucrative investment.

Government Predictions and Long-Term Perspective:

Understanding the government's rationale further clarifies the pricing model. The government acknowledges the higher capital cost associated with NDIS properties and compensates by offering higher rents. This aligns with their long-term investment horizon of 20 years, as outlined in the SDA pricing arrangement documentation. Over this period, the after-tax income of $30,000 per year accumulates to $600,000, more than covering the additional $200,000 cost.

The perception of NDIS properties being overpriced requires a more in-depth analysis. These properties represent a strategic investment that aligns with the government's long-term vision. The higher upfront cost is offset by substantial and consistent cash flow, making NDIS properties an attractive option for investors seeking a positive and reliable return on investment. The decision ultimately rests on your preferences and goals—whether you are willing to pay the price for a secure and lucrative investment that supports the desired lifestyle.